tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 17%

  1. 17:45 BNA → 20:02 DFW
    AA 1496 · American · 2h 17m · 50% on time, 3.4% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:48 DFW → 22:21 MEM
    AA 3262 · American · 1h 33m · 44% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection43%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 57% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time17%First flight not cancelled (3.4% are) × connection made (43%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip4h 36mBNA 17:45 to MEM 22:21, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.