tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Memphis via Charlotte: arrives on time 38%

  1. 19:14 BNA → 21:53 CLT
    AA 1497 · American · 1h 36m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:50 CLT → 23:38 MEM
    AA 2392 · American · 1h 49m · 64% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 25mBNA 19:14 to MEM 23:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.