tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Columbus via Miami: arrives on time 20%

  1. 17:27 BNA → 20:55 MIA
    AA 1501 · American · 2h 28m · 36% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:45 MIA → 00:37 CMH +1 day
    AA 3550 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 52m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection25%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 75% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time20%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (25%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip6h 10mBNA 17:27 to CMH 00:37, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.