tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hartford via Philadelphia: arrives on time 34%

  1. 15:38 BNA → 18:50 PHL
    AA 1506 · American · 2h 10m · 68% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:44 PHL → 21:22 BDL
    AA 6107 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 38m · 59% on time, 6.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 44m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hartford is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (6.0% are) and within 15 minutes (59%).
Total trip4h 44mBNA 15:38 to BDL 21:22, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.