tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 78%

  1. 07:00 BOS → 09:01 ORD
    AA 1509 · American · 3h 01m · 90% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 2h 18m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:19 ORD → 15:12 TPA
    UA 1834 · United · 2h 53m · 83% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 48 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 18m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 12mBOS 07:00 to TPA 15:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.