tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Key West via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:30 DCA → 10:13 CLT
    AA 1518 · American · 1h 43m · 86% on time, 2.9% cancelled
  2. 3h 37m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:50 CLT → 16:11 EYW
    AA 3519 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 21m · 87% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 172 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 37m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.9% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 41mDCA 08:30 to EYW 16:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.