tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Hebron via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 25%

  1. 12:45 BNA → 14:58 DFW
    AA 1520 · American · 2h 13m · 74% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:50 DFW → 19:09 CVG
    AA 1728 · American · 2h 19m · 39% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip5h 24mBNA 12:45 to CVG 19:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.