tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Panama City Beach via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 11%

  1. 16:36 BNA → 18:53 DFW
    AA 1522 · American · 2h 17m · 53% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:42 DFW → 21:39 ECP
    AA 813 · American · 1h 57m · 34% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 03m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection34%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 66% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time11%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (34%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (34%).
Total trip5h 03mBNA 16:36 to ECP 21:39, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.