tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Chicago via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 16:36 BNA → 18:53 DFW
    AA 1522 · American · 2h 17m · 53% on time, 8.1% cancelled
  2. 52m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 DFW → 22:32 ORD
    AA 3531 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 47m · 64% on time, 6.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection39%The first flight arrived more than 7 minutes late on 61% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 52m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (8.1% are) × connection made (39%) × second flight not cancelled (6.5% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 56mBNA 16:36 to ORD 22:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.