tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Seattle via Charlotte: arrives on time 41%

  1. 16:30 BNA → 19:05 CLT
    AA 1526 · American · 1h 35m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:19 CLT → 22:59 SEA
    AA 1674 · American · 5h 41m · 61% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 2 h behind Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip8h 30mBNA 16:30 to SEA 22:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.