tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Newark via Charlotte: arrives on time 32%

  1. 16:30 BNA → 19:05 CLT
    AA 1526 · American · 1h 35m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:09 CLT → 22:08 EWR
    AA 2794 · American · 1h 59m · 61% on time, 3.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 38m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection55%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 45% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (55%) × second flight not cancelled (3.1% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 38mBNA 16:30 to EWR 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.