tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Orlando via Charlotte: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:30 BNA → 19:05 CLT
    AA 1526 · American · 1h 35m · 53% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:15 CLT → 22:00 MCO
    AA 3200 · American · 1h 45m · 61% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip4h 30mBNA 16:30 to MCO 22:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.