tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Las Vegas → Tucson via Phoenix: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:59 LAS → 17:57 PHX
    AA 1541 · American · 1h 17m · 76% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Phoenix (PHX) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 PHX → 19:45 TUS
    AA 6457 · American, flown by SkyWest · 55m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 3h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip3h 46mLAS 15:59 to TUS 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.