tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Phoenix → Miami via Washington: arrives on time 84%

  1. 23:52 PHX → 07:14 DCA
    AA 1542 · American · 4h 22m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 2h 41m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:55 DCA → 12:38 MIA +1 day
    AA 1173 · American · 2h 43m · 88% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 9h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Miami is 3 h ahead of Phoenix). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 116 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 41m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip9h 46mPHX 23:52 to MIA 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.