tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Sacramento → Newark via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 49%

  1. 05:18 SMF → 10:47 DFW
    AA 1544 · American · 3h 29m · 90% on time, 1.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:47 DFW → 16:20 EWR
    AA 2861 · American · 3h 33m · 56% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Newark is 3 h ahead of Sacramento). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (1.9% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip8h 02mSMF 05:18 to EWR 16:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.