tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Valparaiso via Washington: arrives on time 50%

  1. 08:19 BOS → 10:01 DCA
    AA 1550 · American · 1h 42m · 92% on time, 1.6% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:57 DCA → 12:20 VPS
    AA 3224 · American · 2h 23m · 57% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection90%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 10% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (90%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 01mBOS 08:19 to VPS 12:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.