tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 49%

  1. 18:56 BOS → 21:34 CLT
    AA 1552 · American · 2h 39m · 66% on time, 5.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:40 CLT → 23:49 ILM
    AA 1017 · American · 1h 08m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 4h 52m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (5.8% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 52mBOS 18:56 to ILM 23:49, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.