tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Raleigh/Durham via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 44%

  1. 08:30 ORD → 11:04 DFW
    AA 1555 · American · 2h 34m · 71% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 08m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:12 DFW → 15:59 RDU
    AA 2371 · American · 2h 47m · 61% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 23 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 08m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 29mORD 08:30 to RDU 15:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.