tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Martha's Vineyard via Washington: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:21 BOS → 12:00 DCA
    AA 1556 · American · 1h 42m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 24m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:24 DCA → 17:00 MVY
    AA 4572 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 58% on time, 11.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 159 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 24m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (11.6% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip6h 39mBOS 10:21 to MVY 17:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.