tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Des Moines via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 18:20 ORD → 21:01 DFW
    AA 1559 · American · 2h 37m · 41% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 DFW → 23:58 DSM
    AA 1371 · American · 1h 54m · 54% on time, 3.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection45%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 55% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (45%) × second flight not cancelled (3.9% are) and within 15 minutes (54%).
Total trip5h 39mORD 18:20 to DSM 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.