tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → St Louis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 24%

  1. 18:20 ORD → 21:01 DFW
    AA 1559 · American · 2h 37m · 41% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:10 DFW → 23:58 STL
    AA 3049 · American · 1h 49m · 52% on time, 4.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time24%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (4.3% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 39mORD 18:20 to STL 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.