tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → San Antonio via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 16%

  1. 18:20 ORD → 21:01 DFW
    AA 1559 · American · 2h 37m · 41% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 DFW → 23:04 SAT
    AA 3097 · American · 1h 08m · 51% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 4h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection35%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 65% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time16%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (35%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip4h 43mORD 18:20 to SAT 23:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.