tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Springfield via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 37%

  1. 18:20 ORD → 21:01 DFW
    AA 1559 · American · 2h 37m · 41% on time, 4.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:11 DFW → 23:34 SGF
    AA 3665 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 23m · 78% on time, 0.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection51%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 49% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (4.2% are) × connection made (51%) × second flight not cancelled (0.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip5h 14mORD 18:20 to SGF 23:34, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.