tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Grand Rapids → Philadelphia via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 47%

  1. 07:01 GRR → 08:48 DFW
    AA 1561 · American · 2h 47m · 76% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:38 DFW → 14:00 PHL
    AA 402 · American · 3h 22m · 74% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time47%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 59mGRR 07:01 to PHL 14:00, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.