tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Memphis via Miami: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:55 BOS → 21:35 MIA
    AA 1562 · American · 3h 40m · 79% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:28 MIA → 23:58 MEM
    AA 1551 · American · 2h 27m · 57% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip7h 00mBOS 17:55 to MEM 23:58, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.