tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → San Diego via Miami: arrives on time 33%

  1. 15:15 BOS → 18:58 MIA
    AA 1565 · American · 3h 43m · 69% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 14m layover in Miami (MIA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:12 MIA → 22:38 SAN
    AA 2463 · American · 5h 26m · 44% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 10h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 29 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 14m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip10h 23mBOS 15:15 to SAN 22:38, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.