Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Austin → Memphis via Chicago: arrives on time 42%
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18:30 AUS → 21:14 ORDAA 1568 · American · 2h 48m · 48% on time, 1.6% cancelled
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1h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:30 ORD → 00:18 MEM +1 dayAA 3945 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 48m · 71% on time, 3.6% cancelled
Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.
Makes the connection63%The first flight arrived more than 31 minutes late on 37% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 16m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (63%) × second flight not cancelled (3.6% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip5h 48mAUS 18:30 to MEM 00:18, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.