Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Austin → Tulsa via Chicago: arrives on time 29%
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18:30 AUS → 21:14 ORDAA 1568 · American · 2h 48m · 48% on time, 1.6% cancelled
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51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:05 ORD → 00:10 TUL +1 dayAA 4281 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 01m · 75% on time, 4.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.
Makes the connection42%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 58% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (1.6% are) × connection made (42%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 36mAUS 18:30 to TUL 00:10, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.