tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 23%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 19:55 ORD
    AA 1570 · American · 2h 14m · 51% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 ORD → 23:32 DFW
    AA 2600 · American · 2h 33m · 52% on time, 13.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time23%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (13.0% are) and within 15 minutes (52%).
Total trip5h 51mBNA 17:41 to DFW 23:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.