tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Albany via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 19:55 ORD
    AA 1570 · American · 2h 14m · 51% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 03m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:58 ORD → 00:13 ALB +1 day
    AA 3463 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 14m · 77% on time, 6.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 31m, scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection52%The first flight arrived more than 18 minutes late on 48% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 03m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (52%) × second flight not cancelled (6.6% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 31mBNA 17:41 to ALB 00:13, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.