tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Greenville via Chicago: arrives on time 28%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 19:55 ORD
    AA 1570 · American · 2h 14m · 51% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:49 ORD → 23:48 GSP
    AA 3492 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 59m · 64% on time, 10.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival (Greenville is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection49%The first flight arrived more than 9 minutes late on 51% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 54m layover.
Arrives on time28%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (49%) × second flight not cancelled (10.7% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip5h 07mBNA 17:41 to GSP 23:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.