tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Portland via Chicago: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 19:55 ORD
    AA 1570 · American · 2h 14m · 51% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:01 ORD → 00:43 PWM +1 day
    AA 4403 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 35m · 65% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 55m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection53%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 47% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (53%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip5h 55mBNA 17:41 to PWM 00:43, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.