tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Columbus via Chicago: arrives on time 34%

  1. 17:41 BNA → 19:55 ORD
    AA 1570 · American · 2h 14m · 51% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:54 ORD → 23:32 CMH
    AA 4445 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 72% on time, 5.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival (Columbus is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection50%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 50% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time34%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (50%) × second flight not cancelled (5.2% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 51mBNA 17:41 to CMH 23:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.