tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Denver via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 21%

  1. 18:47 LGA → 21:50 DFW
    AA 1571 · American · 4h 03m · 58% on time, 9.2% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:45 DFW → 23:55 DEN
    AA 662 · American · 2h 10m · 44% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time21%First flight not cancelled (9.2% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (44%).
Total trip7h 08mLGA 18:47 to DEN 23:55, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.