tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 45%

  1. 16:47 BOS → 19:29 CLT
    AA 1573 · American · 2h 42m · 67% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:29 CLT → 21:32 ILM
    AA 2826 · American · 1h 06m · 71% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 48mBOS 16:47 to ILM 21:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.