tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 30%

  1. 15:27 AUS → 18:35 ORD
    AA 1574 · American · 3h 08m · 52% on time, 1.3% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:26 ORD → 22:08 DFW
    AA 3544 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 42m · 73% on time, 5.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 41m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection44%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 56% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time30%First flight not cancelled (1.3% are) × connection made (44%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 41mAUS 15:27 to DFW 22:08, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.