tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Wilmington via Charlotte: arrives on time 81%

  1. 07:30 EWR → 09:35 CLT
    AA 1575 · American · 2h 05m · 85% on time, 3.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 30m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:05 CLT → 14:19 ILM
    AA 5809 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 14m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 165 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 30m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (3.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip6h 49mEWR 07:30 to ILM 14:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.