tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 22%

  1. 17:57 BOS → 21:20 DFW
    AA 1577 · American · 4h 28m · 58% on time, 14.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:30 DFW → 18:30 MEM +1 day
    AA 1646 · American · 1h 33m · 39% on time, 1.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 06m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time22%First flight not cancelled (14.5% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (1.9% are) and within 15 minutes (39%).
Total trip7h 06mBOS 17:57 to MEM 18:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.