tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Buffalo via Charlotte: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:18 DCA → 07:57 CLT
    AA 1581 · American · 1h 39m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 13m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:10 CLT → 12:54 BUF
    AA 1616 · American · 1h 45m · 89% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 37m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 148 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 13m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip6h 37mDCA 06:18 to BUF 12:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.