tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:18 DCA → 07:57 CLT
    AA 1581 · American · 1h 39m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 47m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:44 CLT → 13:12 XNA
    AA 5444 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 28m · 86% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 182 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 47m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip7h 54mDCA 06:18 to XNA 13:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.