tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 06:18 DCA → 07:57 CLT
    AA 1581 · American · 1h 39m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:01 CLT → 10:35 XNA
    AA 5446 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 34m · 81% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 17m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection89%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 11% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (89%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 17mDCA 06:18 to XNA 10:35, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.