tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Knoxville via Charlotte: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:18 DCA → 07:57 CLT
    AA 1581 · American · 1h 39m · 89% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:15 CLT → 10:38 TYS
    AA 5950 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 23m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 20m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 20mDCA 06:18 to TYS 10:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.