tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Columbus via Philadelphia: arrives on time 50%

  1. 18:29 ATL → 20:40 PHL
    AA 1590 · American · 2h 11m · 59% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 10m layover in Philadelphia (PHL) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 PHL → 23:41 CMH
    AA 4361 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 51m · 81% on time, 3.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (3.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 12mATL 18:29 to CMH 23:41, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.