tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Asheville via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 17:38 BOS → 19:59 ORD
    AA 1592 · American · 3h 21m · 38% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:29 ORD → 00:23 AVL +1 day
    AA 3493 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 54m · 73% on time, 13.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 30m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (13.3% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip6h 45mBOS 17:38 to AVL 00:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.