tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Madison via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 33%

  1. 16:06 BOS → 19:38 DFW
    AA 1595 · American · 4h 32m · 74% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:36 DFW → 22:53 MSN
    AA 876 · American · 2h 17m · 48% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 7h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip7h 47mBOS 16:06 to MSN 22:53, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.