tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Valparaiso via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 62%

  1. 06:30 LGA → 09:30 DFW
    AA 1597 · American · 3h 53m · 89% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:46 DFW → 14:43 VPS
    AA 2501 · American · 1h 57m · 66% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 9h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Valparaiso is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip9h 13mLGA 06:30 to VPS 14:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.