tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Memphis via Dallas-Fort Worth: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:30 LGA → 09:30 DFW
    AA 1597 · American · 3h 53m · 89% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 07m layover in Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:37 DFW → 14:16 MEM
    AA 3676 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 39m · 85% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 8h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Memphis is 1 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 53 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 142 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 07m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 46mLGA 06:30 to MEM 14:16, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.