Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
San Francisco → Raleigh/Durham via New York: arrives on time 62%
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10:15 SFO → 19:04 JFKAA 16 · American · 5h 49m · 75% on time, 2.4% cancelled
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2h 56m layover in New York (JFK) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:00 JFK → 00:12 RDU +1 dayAA 4573 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 09m · 72% on time, 8.3% cancelled
Total trip 10h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (Raleigh/Durham is 3 h ahead of San Francisco). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 56m layover.
Arrives on time62%First flight not cancelled (2.4% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (8.3% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip10h 54mSFO 10:15 to RDU 00:12, layover included
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.