tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → New Orleans via Washington: arrives on time 45%

  1. 09:18 BOS → 10:59 DCA
    AA 1605 · American · 1h 41m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 11:45 DCA → 13:27 MSY
    AA 3175 · American · 2h 42m · 70% on time, 6.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (6.6% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip5h 09mBOS 09:18 to MSY 13:27, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.