tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Miami → Asheville via Washington: arrives on time 44%

  1. 11:59 MIA → 14:44 DCA
    AA 1606 · American · 2h 45m · 87% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 44m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:28 DCA → 19:12 AVL
    AA 4736 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 48% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 119 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 44m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (48%).
Total trip7h 13mMIA 11:59 to AVL 19:12, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.